Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1078.424187 1215.264500 1364.441175 1539.404568 1739.323828 1961.016831 2226.011132
2026-02-01 870.880110 1057.402825 1277.986476 1559.246885 1909.979560 2335.040796 2892.409228
2026-02-08 749.670978 957.523188 1217.388346 1568.469779 2033.940070 2634.799583 3477.082815
2026-02-15 667.382971 887.842374 1176.131549 1584.434019 2153.789923 2928.353338 4076.863514
2026-02-22 609.357598 839.528704 1152.416566 1614.138327 2287.135273 3246.213554 4741.523423
2026-03-01 542.445236 769.856890 1089.362360 1577.741491 2317.323110 3414.713149 5202.671192
2026-03-08 483.210654 703.997140 1023.390462 1527.153751 2316.621926 3531.498732 5591.734099
2026-03-15 433.965831 647.450610 964.593090 1479.356835 2311.875227 3636.898287 5969.299616
2026-03-22 413.623668 632.109099 965.542162 1522.806070 2453.634721 3987.502028 6794.135912
2026-03-29 390.342716 609.759502 952.972034 1542.220602 2556.310543 4282.261511 7557.007826
2026-04-05 368.350215 587.307825 937.795805 1554.951520 2647.467693 4564.864643 8331.233511
2026-04-12 348.276617 566.123828 922.519375 1565.328019 2734.291910 4847.115320 9138.526419
2026-04-19 334.077389 554.091736 922.334473 1603.481975 2877.858170 5254.252334 10256.522695
2026-04-26 317.952584 537.494807 912.981098 1624.426511 2992.180627 5620.483518 11347.735763
2026-05-03 301.574062 519.001094 898.506439 1634.071045 3085.129972 5954.482714 12417.834729
2026-05-10 287.733396 503.823301 888.506174 1650.770618 3192.911560 6329.389446 13629.991472
2026-05-17 277.052425 493.453601 886.257967 1681.845051 3332.293634 6784.780231 15090.321814
2026-05-24 258.153288 466.437722 850.768734 1643.769749 3324.338838 6925.310743 15836.963293
2026-05-31 239.069778 437.697870 809.800584 1590.855616 3279.213897 6978.749061 16380.384756
2026-06-07 221.952962 411.533384 771.883885 1540.867776 3235.235466 7029.373951 16923.772348
2026-06-14 217.033303 408.625440 779.276489 1586.308356 3406.559321 7592.534829 18862.162048
2026-06-21 209.641643 400.294444 775.150956 1606.614550 3522.979807 8040.385783 20569.946057
2026-06-28 202.003206 390.918985 768.159004 1619.930783 3624.426901 8463.991122 22281.378633